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In Algo Trading Robot Binary Options, talking about the long and short trades all the time without thinking that the difference between them. The reason is in the Forex no deal “long” or “short” in the truth. When trading a pair of currencies, then they are actually trading spread between them, and always in a long position on the currency and short the other.
Before we continue, we must define the transaction or position “long” and “short.”
Deal “long” simply means that you have to buy something. If you are in a long deal on a stock, you’ve bought the shares.
Algo Trading Robot Deal “short” means that you have the origin of the borrowing will be re-paid at the same price at which it was when you borrowing them. It hopes that down, so the sell and pay the original amount of borrowing and keep the difference.
In Forks, this does not matter, in fact, because you are always buying the currency to another currency, and so you’re always in for a long position on the currency and short the other. In stock trading or commodities, it is different. You are always either long or short status of cash against a real asset. Especially in stocks, there is a real difference between a long and short position. The reason is that the stock markets have long tendencies, which means that during any period of time, it has the statistical tendencies to rise. Definition of long periods of declines and continued in the major stock indexes levels is very difficult and perhaps even impossible through technical analysis.
The main stock index S & P500, is a component of the index of 500 major US share. The index existed since 1957, but could appreciate the value extrapolated for some years prior to that year. Let’s take a look at the performance of this indicator from a historical perspective.
Index S & P500: clarify the long tendencies
Let’s imagine that we are beginning we bought the index on a weekly basis since the year 1950. This will give the result of a weekly rate at 0.18%. This is amazing, and the extent of the softer US stock market shows over the past 65 years overall. And is a clear display of long index tendencies, referring to because when you are in a short position, and when neutralized all the other factors, the odds are against you. Of course, we actually follow the pattern application model to try to get a better idea of the behavior of the index. In addition, we may get more results that we have applied to limit any test back to something closer to the past twenty years.
And so, if you look at the S & P500 index since 1997, say that you are buying only on weekly editorials where the price is higher than 3 and 6 months ago, and sell when the situation versa. This type of strategy follow the pattern tends to give positive results with Forex pairs that contain the US dollar, as well as with common goods.
But, when we apply this strategy on the S & P500 index, it may give positive results in the long term, but a losing short-term results:
Long weeks: 531 trading, the weekly performance rate = 0.09%
Short weeks: 227 trading, the weekly performance rate = -0.06%
Regardless of the time period in which they use to filter indicators, any period of time you use on the short side will give negative results, while almost any period of time, it may apply the long side will give positive results.
Which stock markets have a long tendencies?
The first question that might ask at this point is whether all stock indices Hecz? It supposed to divide the question in terms of geography and sector. For example, if you look at the NASDAQ100 Index, it is a component of US shares, but is a specialist technology sector. Indicators which consist of specific types of stocks may be more amenable to statistical short side of expectations.
If we look at the index NASDAQ100 since 1997, we can see that he has a long tendencies as well: during the weekly average in the period, up 0.12%. Once again, we find the same impossibility to achieve profitable momentum on the short side strategy.
Maybe it comes to the big leniency for the US stock market. If we tried another key indicator is present in a geographical elsewhere, perhaps we may get good results on the short side.
What if we look at the outside of the US stock market? This Algo Trading Robot could give us an example of where we can gain a better model for predicting trends short profitably on the short side. A good example might be the Japanese Nikkei225 index, where it is known that the performance of the Japanese stock market was bad over several years recently.
First of all, if we go back since 1997, in general, there are actually a short tendencies here: a weekly average, the index 0.28%, and the decline so it is no surprise that we are building a profitable model in the short side here. To see what happens when we apply the test three months and six on the Nikkei225 Index:
Long weeks: 388 trading, the weekly performance rate = 0.05%.
Short weeks: 353 trading, the weekly performance rate = 0.20%.
Here, we have a profitable model on both sides.
Do not use fundamental analysis for a short status on the US stock markets
Moral of the story may be that the US stock market was one of the very long historical perspective to take a short position as part of the strategy follow the pattern, at least if you are short on the status of a leading indicator. It may be better to use another rule to determine when we are trying to enter on a short trading. In general, the downward markets fall faster and faster than going through the progressive markets. I think that the majority of analysts bollards agree with me that the daily chart of the S & P500 index refers to the decline on the road. But, if you’re going to try to take advantage of it, do not use trace traditional style techniques, and be prepared to collect the profit when the price falls rapidly!
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Note how the index had problems to reach a new high since March, which is about 10 months ago. A few weeks ago, in descending line style became stable at summits, and in recent weeks we have seen are more severe pattern line. If this pattern held up the line, it will soon pay the cursor to the bottom around the area 1900. This Algo Trading Robot worked as a key support in recent years, and so the strong hack below that area could be referring to the decline more sharply on the road.